'All Australian Guineas': The Finishing Order

Published: 06 Mar 2016


Melbourne and Sydney both hosted Group One mile races for three-year-olds on Saturday, a calamity in programming caused by the ongoing feud between the two states. Melbourne's Australian Guineas was won by Darren Weir's very tough colt PALENTINO, while in Sydney LE ROMAIN upset an unlucky PRESS STATEMENT in the Randwick Guineas.

That's all interesting enough, but what we really want to know is who won the 'All Australian Guineas'!

If all 28 gallopers lined up at once, our Analysts have used the two cross-border raiders VANBRUGH and TULSA to work out what the finishing order might have been. If you're interested in all the data stuff, it's at the bottom!

All Australian Guineas Finishing Order

  1. LE ROMAIN
  2. PRESS STATEMENT 0.2L
  3. GOLD AMBITION 1.5L
  4. PALENTINO 2L
  5. TARZINO 2.1L
  6. STAY WITH ME 2.1L
  7. MONTAIGNE 2.5L
  8. RISQUE 2.6L
  9. RIVER WILD 3.6L
  10. JAMEKA 4L
  11. DATA POINT 4.6L
  12. BALMAIN BOY 4.7L
  13. SHARDS 5.1L
  14. VANBRUGH 5.25L
  15. TULSA 5.7L
  16. READY FOR VICTORY 5.75L
  17. ETYMOLOGY 5.9L
  18. XTRAVAGANT 6.5L
  19. SOVEREIGN NATION 7L
  20. SAILING BY 7.4L
  21. SNOOPY 7.7L
  22. MAN OF CHOICE 8L
  23. MACKINTOSH 8.3L
  24. TIVACI 9.2L
  25. BON AURUM 9.6L
  26. MAHUTA 9.8L
  27. DAL CIELO 10.6L
  28. PERFECT REFLECTION 24.8L

The Analysis

  • VANBRUGH and ETYMOLOGY form-line
  • Finished alongside each other in the Hobartville
  • Arguably both expected to improve up to 1,600 metres of the Guineas
  • ETYMOLOGY 5.9L behind PALATINO in Randwick Guineas
  • VANBRUGH 3.25L behind LE ROMAIN in Australian Guineas
  • Rough Estimate: Randwick Guineas 2.6L stronger
  • TULSA and PALENTINO form-line
  • PALENTINO 2.5L better than TULSA in CS Hayes (0.5L margin and 2.5kg (2L) better)
  • TULSA beaten 5.7L in Randwick Guineas
  • PALENTINO wins the Australian Guineas
  • Give TULSA a couple of lengths for being on the inside ground at Randwick?
  • TULSA 4L behind LE ROMAIN (after bias approx.) in Randwick Guineas
  • TULSA 2.5L behind PALENTINO
  • Rough Estimate: Randwick Guineas 1.5L stronger

Approximate Difference: Randwick Guineas 2L stronger than Australian Guineas




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