Top 5 Early Insights @ Royal Randwick
Published: 03 Sep 2015
Centre of attention - Chris Waller brings a massive 11 runners to the Chelmsford Stakes this weekend
Max Presnell often writes about Wallerism, which he defines as "the mass representation of the leading stable and how they will be ridden".
Usually the tactics employed by the master Kiwi trainer, Chris Waller, can leave any analyst baffled. Some horses at full fitness, while others are only there for a 'warm-up run'.
With this in mind, the Chelmsford Stakes looks like a trap for punters, with 11 of the 16 gallopers trained by the Waller stable.
But if you trust the man himself you can put a line through most of the field. Waller was quoted as saying KERMADEC and ROYAL DESCENT were his best hopes by far.
Could it really be as simple as Godolphin's HARTNELL versus Waller's better milers KERMADEC and ROYAL DESCENT?
The Race Guide's Analyst Team thinks so. Their Top 5 Early Insights are listed below.
1 - Trust In Waller
Waller might be keen to lose the reputation of being a 'poor tipster' of his own horses, something that has seen the Kiwi trainer accused of misleading punters before a race.
He's been very clear about his main two chances in the Chelmsford Stakes this Saturday and The Race Guide's Analyst Team agrees.
KERMADEC and ROYAL DESCENT are perfectly suited and will be very hard to beat.
The Value: KERMADEC at $4 and ROYAL DESCENT at $1.85 to place in Randwick Race 6 with CrownBet
Classy miler - Kermadec is primed for a big run over 1,600 metres
2 - Class Comes First
The Furious Stakes for the Fillies is an intriguing battled between some classy sprinters.
Waterhouse's big strapping SPEAK FONDLY is the favourite, but she might not get such an easy time over what is sure to be a testing six furlongs.
ENGLISH and OTTOMAN will be stalking in midfield, ready to unleash a rapid finishing sprint.
The Value: ENGLISH at $4 and OTTOMAN at $8 in Randwick Race 4 with CrownBet
First-up run - English has had two trials to get ready for this Saturday
3 - All Heart
Backing reliable and genuine horses for a place can be a profitable punting strategy.
Bookmakers often have the same difference between a Win price and a Place price, no matter that 'type' of galloper it is.
SADLER'S LAKE, TATOOSH and JUST AS COSMIC are all great odds to run in the top three this weekend. Horses that always give it their all.
The Value: SADLER'S LAKE at $2.70, TATOOSH at $2.80 and JUST AS COSMIC at $4 to place in Randwick Races 1, 3 and 8 with CrownBet
Chases hard - Sadler's Lake really stretches out when the jockey asks for an effort
4 - Don't Miss a Yard
With so many gallopers resuming from a spell, the mounting yard will be as important as the Form Guide this weekend.
The chances of BALLET SUITE, SADLER'S LAKE, BOHEMIAN LILLY, FIRST SEAL, LUCIA VALENTINA, HARTNELL and others will depend on how fit they are first-up.
Good value chances like LAST WISH, HAPPY GALAXY and ARABIAN GOLD could surprise too if they are ready to go fresh.
The Value: LAST WISH at $41 /$8.5 in Randwick Race 2 with CrownBet if he parades well
Wait for the Parade - Last Wish is worth looking at in the yard first-up
5 - Wondering About the Spring
The margin wasn't big, but it looked like START WONDERING had lengths on his opponents last start.
Bowman urged him to the lead before he found plenty under pressure as the challengers tried to get past.
He has the scope to win again and stamp himself as a Spring contender.
The Value: START WONDERING at $2.70 in Randwick Race 8 with CrownBet
More to give - Start Wondering held on for a comfortable win last start