Top 5 Early Insights @ Rosehill Gardens
Published: 26 Nov 2015
1 - Ready for the Rails
Rosehill Gardens has played pretty fairly in recent weeks, most horses getting their chance on the day.
There's reason to think we may get a slight NEAR RAILS bias this weekend though, the rail coming back into the true after racing at +3 metres (when it was HEAVY) and +6 metres the last two weeks.
If the inside is favoured, jump on horses like DUBLIN LASS (Race 5), ELLE LOU (Race 6), LOFIEL (Race 7), NINTH LEGION (Race 8) and GOT THE GOSS (Race 9).
The Bet - GOT THE GOSS at $12 if there is bias early, click here to bet
Plumb draw - Got the Goss can win from barrier 2
2 - Tele-Special
TELEPATHIC shapes as a 'good thing' in Race 2 at Rosehill Gardens, a galloper with a superior turn-of-foot to the rest of the field.
As long as she is within a few lengths of the leader at the 300 metre mark, you can be sure she will be storming home best.
The Bet - TELEPATHIC at $1.55, click here to bet
Get in the collect queue - Telepathic is a short-priced favourite for good reason
3 - Monster Form
The market suggests Race 5, the Starlight Stakes, is a match race between the Snowden gallopers THAT'S A GOOD IDEA and DUBLIN LASS.
But don't rule out Albury raider THE MONSTAR, he's got form-lines that tie into both those runners.
Taking a line through I Love It suggests he's every bit as good as DUBLIN LASS, while he was only 1.2 lengths off THAT'S A GOOD IDEA a few starts ago and gets a 3kg turnaround!
The Bet - THE MONSTAR at $13, click here to bet
Value chance - Richard Bensley comes to town for a couple of good rides
4 - Fresh Fillies
Mares races are famously hard to pick and Race 6 looks no different, a big field of 14 making it difficult to find the winner.
There's a couple of negatives for favourites I AM ZELADY (often misses the start) and TYPHOON JOLIE (got the charmed run last start) though, so it's worth looking for value.
Fresh mares SAVOUREUX, IN A WINK and ELLE LOU could be a good bet on the nose.
The Bet - SAVOUREUX at $16, IN A WINK at $13 and ELLE LOU at $11, click here to bet
Improving type - Elle Lou showed she had talent at the end of her last campaign
5 - Happy Clapping
A likely STRONG tempo in Race 7 will help horses that have a good SURGE and can sustain their effort to the line.
HAPPY CLAPPER is a talented galloper on the rise that always hits the line hard.
He'll be very hard to hold out late.
The Bet - HAPPY CLAPPER at $3.70, click here to bet
Finishes hard - Happy Clapper winds up and knows how to find the line