Key Factors: Country Championships

Published: 05 Mar 2016

Sunday Grafton Race 7 at 4:50PM

NRRA COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIPS QUALIFIER 1400 METRES

 

Race Conditions

  • Track: Grafton
  • Class: Class 5, Set Weights
  • Distance: 1400m
  • Conditions: GOOD 3 (forecast)
  • Tempo: FAIR to STRONG (forecast)
  • Bias: FAIR to NEAR PACE (forecast)

 

Key Factors

  1. Distance - The ability of a horse to perform over this distance range
  2. Weight - How well weighted a horse is in comparison to it's form
  3. Position in Run - How well positioned a horse is on the Speed Map

 

Best Bet

3. LEGENDARY LUKE

click to bet on LEGENDARY LUKE at $3.8

Value Bet

5. CARTON (each-way)

Click to bet on CARTON each-way at $16

 

1. PROFILER Stephen Lee (Ballina)

  • Early Speed: 9
  • Last Start: Settled outside the leader and was too strong late over 1,100 metres in a Gold Coast class 4, running fast time.
  • Form Rating: 9
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (-2) / WEIGHT (+1) / PIR (+1)

TRG Rating: 9

 

2. VOLTAIRE LUMIERE Stephen Lee (Ballina)

  • Early Speed: 5
  • Last Start: Always back and ridden when up in grade, finishing 12th of 14 in a Doomben Class 6 over 1,200 metres.
  • Form Rating: 6
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (+1) / PIR (-2)

TRG Rating: 5

 

3. LEGENDARY LUKE Matthew Dunn (Murwillumbah)

  • Early Speed: 5
  • Last Start: Got back and ran on well for 3rd of 13 in a good class Doomben Class 6 over 1,350 metres.
  • Form Rating: 10
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (+1) / WEIGHT (+1) / PIR (+1)

TRG Rating: 13*

 

4. QUATRONIC Matthew Dunn (Murwillumbah)

  • Early Speed: 9
  • Last Start: Led all the way to win a Doomben 3yo Handicap over 1,200 metres in fast time.
  • Form Rating: 9
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (0) / PIR (0)

TRG Rating: 9

 

5. CARTON Matthew Dunn (Murwillumbah)

  • Early Speed: 4
  • Last Start: Charged home from the back to win a Gold Coast Class 2 over 1,300 metres.
  • Form Rating: 8
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (+1) / WEIGHT (+1) / PIR (+1)

TRG Rating: 11

 

6. GUNNAZA Peter Roach (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 10
  • Last Start: Took up the running, but tired late for 8th of 13 in a Class 3 at Randwick over 1,200 metres on soft ground.
  • Form Rating: 7
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (-2) / WEIGHT (0) / PIR (-1)

TRG Rating: 4

 

7. CLEMMENSEN Jim Jarvis (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 5
  • Last Start: Came three wide to make run on the turn but only plodded for 10th of 11 in a Coffs Harbour Class 4 over 1,415 metres.
  • Form Rating: 6
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (-1) / WEIGHT (-1) / PIR (-1)

TRG Rating: 3

 

8. DUSTMAN Todd Fletcher (Grafton)

  • Early Speed: 5
  • Last Start: End of last preparation carried big weight of 61kg and stuck on right to line when 2nd of 5 in a Grafton BM 58 over 1,400 metres. Has since won a trial well.
  • Form Rating: 7
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (+1) / WEIGHT (-1) / PIR (0)

TRG Rating: 7

 

9. BUCKIN THE BLUES Matthew Dunn (Murwillumbah)

  • Early Speed: 3
  • Last Start: Shuffled back and battled away for 8th of 13 in a Grafton Class 3 over 1,415 metres.
  • Form Rating: 5
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (-1) / PIR (+1)

TRG Rating: 5

 

10. BELWORTH Cathleen Rode (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 4
  • Last Start: Got well back and made some ground under riding (laid in) for 4th of 8 in a Class 3 at Grafton over 1,115 metres.
  • Form Rating: 5
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (-1) / PIR (-1)

TRG Rating: 3

 

11. ULTIMATE DREAMER Jim Jarvis (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 8
  • Last Start: Settled just off pace and challenged gamely for easy win over 1,415 metres in a Grafton Class 3.
  • Form Rating: 9
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (+1) / WEIGHT (+2) / PIR (-1)

TRG Rating: 11

 

12. COASTAL GEM Greg Howells (Grafton)

  • Early Speed: 2
  • Last Start: Stayed on for 2nd of 8 over 1,800 metres in a Gold Coast Class 5 before a break. Since trialled OK (2nd of 4).
  • Form Rating: 7
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (0) / PIR (-1)

TRG Rating: 6

 

13. BONNE CHEVAL Brett Bellamy (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 8
  • Last Start: Settled just off the pace and ran on solidly for 2nd of 11 in a Coffs Harbour Class 4 over 1,415 metres.
  • Form Rating: 7
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (0) / WEIGHT (0) / PIR (+2)

TRG Rating: 9

 

14. CLANG’S VICTORY Brett Bellamy (Coffs Harbour)

  • Early Speed: 10
  • Last Start: Showed speed to lead all the way, fighting strongly to the line in a Coffs Harbour Class 3 over 1,015 metres.
  • Form Rating: 8
  • Factors Rating: DISTANCE (-1) / WEIGHT (-1) / PIR (0)

TRG Rating: 6

 

 




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